Corn Pegged at 11.1 Billion Bushels

If USDA estimates are correct, this year's corn crop will be the second largest in history at 11.1 billion bu. That's according to last week's Crop Production report.

If USDA estimates are correct, this year's corn crop will be the second largest in history at 11.1 billion bu. That's according to last week's Crop Production report. View it at: usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/usda/current/CropProd/CropProd-09-12-2006.txt.

The 11.1-billion-bu. estimate is 1% higher than the August estimate and would make for a crop fractionally larger than last year's.

The monthly report also lifted the estimate of soybean production for the year by 6% over August at 3.09 billion bu. That would also mean a larger crop than last year and the second-largest soybean harvest on record.

Overall, total hay production for the year is estimated at 7% lower than last year. Depending on where you live and how high the price is, that sure seems like a generous assessment.

For the week ending Sept. 9, according to National Ag Statistics Service (NASS).

  • Corn -- 91% is at or beyond the Dent Stage, compared to 88% last year and 81% for the five-year average. Progress is ahead of average in all states. Maturation is at 34%, the same as last year, but 2% ahead of normal. 6% is harvested, which is on par with last year and the five-year average. 59% is rated Good or better, compared to 51% last year.
  • Soybeans -- 27% of the acreage was at or beyond dropping leaves, 7% behind last year, but the same as average. 60% is rated Good or better.
  • Winter Wheat -- 9% of the crop is sown, 2% less than the same time last year and 3% less than average. Colorado is the furthest behind, 12% off the average pace.
  • Barley -- Harvest advanced to 97% complete, compared to 94% last year and 91% for normal.
  • Sorghum -- 96% of the acreage is in the heading stage, which equals last year and the average. Heading was complete or nearly complete in all states except New Mexico and Oklahoma. 72% was at or beyond turning color, the same as last year but 1% behind the norm. 36% is mature, compared to 33% last year and 38% for average. 33% is rated Good or better, compared to 47% last year.
  • Pasture -- 25% is rated Good or Excellent, compared to 32% last year. 24% is rated Poor and 23% is ranked Very Poor, compared to 23% and 13% respectively at the same time last year.
States with the worst pasture conditions -- at least 40% of the acreage rated poor or worse -- include: Alabama (65%); Arizona (58%); Arkansas (53%); California (67%); Colorado (44%); Kansas (43%); Mississippi (68%); Missouri (62%); Montana (61%); Nebraska (60%); Nevada (65%); North Dakota (64%); Oklahoma (70%); OR (48%); South Dakota (58%); Texas (77%); Wyoming (74%).

States with the lushest pasture conditions -- at least 40% rated good or better -- include: Florida (60%); Illinois (55%); Indiana (60%); Iowa (58%); Kentucky (61%); Maine (89%); Michigan (53%); New Mexico (60%); New York (65%); North Carolina (53%); Ohio (55%); South Carolina (48%); Utah (52%); Washington (40%); West Virginia (44%); Wisconsin (50%).

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