Beef Magazine is part of the Informa Markets Division of Informa PLC

This site is operated by a business or businesses owned by Informa PLC and all copyright resides with them. Informa PLC's registered office is 5 Howick Place, London SW1P 1WG. Registered in England and Wales. Number 8860726.

Industry At A Glance: Beef Cow Slaughter Rate

Article-Industry At A Glance: Beef Cow Slaughter Rate

annual beef cow slaughter rate
The current year is on pace to see an 11.4% slaughter rate of the starting cow inventory - the third-highest annual level since 1996, behind only 2011 and 2010 (12.3% and 11.6%, respectively).

Beef cow slaughter rate, measured as a percentage of the beginning inventory, plays a huge role in determining the size of the following year’s beginning inventory. Analyzing that data becomes especially important given that USDA’s mid-year cattle inventory report is no longer available due to federal funding shortfalls.

Thus far in 2013, beef cow slaughter through the first half of the year has equaled approximately 1.6 million head. That’s equivalent to 5.45% of  2013’s starting head count. Perhaps more importantly, though, it surpasses the 10-year average slaughter pace from January-June by nearly 2/3 of a percentage point. In other words, we’re starting with a small inventory (29.3 million cows) and eating through it at a faster rate.

Meanwhile, during the past 10 years, the average slaughter rate during the second half of the year increases by nearly a half percentage point compared to the first half of the year. If that relationship holds in 2013, it’s likely that the beef cow slaughter rate will be nearly 6% between July and December.

beef cow slaughter rate

Given these trends, it appears that 2013 is on pace to slaughter about 11.4% of its starting cow inventory - the third-highest annual level since 1996, behind only 2011 and 2010 (12.3% and 11.6%, respectively).

How do you see weather and market signals shaping up in the second half of the year? Is 2013 a year in which the longer-run trends might get displaced? Or is it a year which plays out pretty much as expected? The implications are very important with respect to next year’s starting inventory (more on that next week).

Leave your thoughts below.


You might also like:

Meet The BEEF 50: 50 Top Beef Industry Leaders

History Lesson: Beef Industry Prices From The Past 50 Years

Photos Honor Multiple Generations On The Ranch

Tips For Extending Fall And Winter Grazing

Temple Grandin Explains Animal Welfare Problems With Beta-Agonists

TAGS: Cow-Calf
Hide comments


  • Allowed HTML tags: <em> <strong> <blockquote> <br> <p>

Plain text

  • No HTML tags allowed.
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • Lines and paragraphs break automatically.