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A 20-year decline in beef cow operations of 1-49 cows appears to have leveled off.
May 18, 2014
USDA’s 2012 Ag Census is now available and provides the industry some important perspective about the general structure and composition of production agriculture in the U.S.
One of the most interesting aspects of the census comes from the overview of beef cow operations in the U.S. That’s especially true in light of the ongoing cowherd liquidation. The accompanying graph depicts the overall change in the producer segment over time.
During the past 20 years, the cow-calf sector has seen a decline of nearly 175,000 operations. The overwhelming majority of that decline (141,000 operations) has occurred within the category of operations maintaining 1-49 beef cows.
None of that is really surprising, as consolidation is an enduring theme across all of agriculture. That occurs because both sides of the profitability equation are squeezed with smaller operations. That is, fixed costs are inherently higher, as smaller operations have less ability to dilute them over a greater number of cows. In addition, marketing leverage for smaller operations is diminished in the marketplace due to inability to create full load lots, or even partial load lots.
As mentioned, the pattern has been an enduring one. However, the pace of reduction within the 1-49 segment has seemingly slowed and even leveled off during the past several years.
How do you see the structure of the cow-calf sector changing in the years to come? Will consolidation continue? Alternatively, has the segment seemingly reached some equilibrium? What are the implications to the industry going forward?
Leave your thoughts in the comments section below.
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Nevil Speer serves as an industry consultant and is based in Bowling Green, KY.
Nevil Speer has extensive experience and involvement with the livestock and food industry including various service and consultation projects spanning such issues as market competition, business and economic implications of agroterrorism, animal identification, assessment of price risk and market volatility on the producer segment, and usage of antibiotics in animal agriculture.
Dr. Speer writes about many aspects regarding agriculture and the food industry with regular contribution to BEEF and Feedstuffs. He’s also written several influential industry white papers dealing with issues such as changing business dynamics in the beef complex, producer decision-making, and country-of-origin labeling.
He serves as a member of the Board of Directors for the National Institute for Animal Agriculture.
Dr. Speer holds both a PhD in Animal Science and a Master’s degree in Business Administration.
Contact him at [email protected].
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